Diesel-powered
HSVs? Commodore hatches? All possible, says Holden boss
Extracted
interview from Detriot Motorshow 2003, www.carpoint.com.au
Holden chairman Peter Hanenberger
talks about exporting to Europe, producing the Commodore hatch,
diesel powered Commodores and HSVs, and why Holden will skip hybrid
technology for fuel cells.
CROSS HEAD On producing the
SSX Commodore hatch concept car revealed in 2002
Q.
Carl Peter Foster, the head of GM-Opel Europe, isn't convinced about
the need for a conventional four-door sedan for Europe. Foster said
he would be very interested if Holden could do an innovative body
style, which seems to fit pretty well with the SSX, (Commodore-based
hatch). Would an interest like that give you more of an excuse to
go ahead with that car?
A.
No, I don't think it would be dependent on Carl Peter Foster or
Opel. I strongly believe that we will most probably integrate this
in one of our next platforms. Would we like to do this earlier?
Yes, but we just can't do it because we have our limits and we are
working to our limits. This body style has a big chance for the
next generation.
Would it be a good style for Opel?
I don't know. I am myself an Opel guy by heritage - I don't know.
Germans still like limousines, sporty limousines. They still buy
a lot of them, like Mercedes and BMW. Hey, we have a very good platform.
North America has a lot of interest in this platform and now we
have the interest even from Opel. Whatever we can do now to leverage
and synergise, I am very interested in that. And the SSXE we will
see a more modern one on the next platform.
Q.
Is there an opportunity then for a North American approach in Germany,
where they take the platform and use it with their own sheet metal
over the top? Are you talking about that kind of concept?
A.
I don't know yet, because I was a little bit surprised. I know that
Opel is kind of interested, but they always hide things behind their
walls. So how this all works ultimately I don't know. They would
get a car then from America, or Opel could tool up or we could do
something - it is still early days. But for me it is important that
they are all interested.
Q.
In the next platform, the next generation car, let's say there is
considerable interest from overseas. Would you then predicate your
business case on a percentage of income from that or would you continue
to have a business case based solely on the Australian domestic
market?
A.
It's very dangerous if you take a business case and put everything
in it. I would not like to do that. I made this very clear over
and over. We have to make our living in Australia. We have to develop
strong domestic product, which is where ultimately the profit should
come from for us to stay alive.
The rest you take as a kind of windfall
situation, because the worst thing for Holden - remember we are
tiny dwarfs in the global scheme - would be if you based your total
business case on everything and then Opel pulls out and America
pulls out and suddenly you're standing there with all the capacity
and nothing to build - you are dead. Mitsubishi Australia, Saab
was in a very similar position when the North American market died;
they had 50 percent of their volume here. So, very clearly, whatever
we do the base platform has to have its living in Australia or at
least in the Asia Pacific area.
Q.
In Australia do you feel hamstrung by the reliance on fleets in
your ability to introduce innovative body styles? Fleets being conservative
and making up most of the domestic market.
A.
Not at all. Because the fleet market is a big market but don't underestimate
the retail market. And Holden has about 18 or 19 percent market
share in the V car (Commodore platform). And we believe by introducing
all these models just here now, we will increase this even further.
So I don't think fleet will be a road block for innovation and different
body styles. I don't think so because our target must be to get
as many retail as we can.
CROSS HEAD On filling the compact
SUV gap in Holden's Australian lineup
Q.
You have had a good look around the Detroit show and you have seen
a lot of vehicles. Is there anything that you'd like for Australia
and that you could actually get?
A.
Not at this time, no, and we are pretty clear on this issue now.
The only vehicle that we will have together is a future SUV. That
is one vehicle and it could it be on a Daewoo platform. We would
like to have the Envoy, but it is not available in right-hand drive.
Q.
Is that the Trailblazer?
A.
Trailblazer - yes. Trailblazer in the short wheel base and I mean
this week we saw the Equinox and that's the one we are probably
most dreaming of doing together with Daewoo.
Q.
How frustrating is that mindset in GM that right-hand drive is not
necessary? Equinox for example, Envoy.
A.
It is very frustrating to be quite honest. It is frustrating because
we would need Europe to make it happen, but Europe is into vans,
they are into Zafiras and they are not into SUVs. When you look
at the total Asia Pacific area, there is not a lot of SUV market.
So we are always by ourselves and so
this is why I would wish myself the day that somebody would decide
to, would proceed to do it strategically. When they are designing
a vehicle from new, design it in right-hand drive. But somehow they
always do the business case and the volume thing and we don't get
it through. Very frustrating. But that's why we did our own now.
Q.
Does the Monaro that goes to the States as a Pontiac, thus bringing
attention back to Australia, help you in that course?
A.
No, it doesn't because Bob Lutz tried also to help us there in the
last six to eight months, but it always comes back to the business
case. Because when we come along with our volume, it is very small
and it just doesn't make sense. So the decision has to be strategic.
CROSS HEAD: On building the Gen IV V8 locally and diesel-powered
Commodores
Q.
The six-litre V8 (Gen IV) sitting out there on display; are you
going to build that in or import that in? You were talking about
building it locally.
A.
I know. I tried three times so far but at this time the capacity
is not utilised here in North America. When we started the first
time and we could not get enough engines into Australia because
the US market was still moving lots of V8s. Now with very low percentage
of market share they have a lot of V8s coming out of their ears.
That's why they won't listen to us at the moment - it is still in
our agenda and still in our business plan to hopefully localise
the V8.
Q.
Would Holden look at displacement on demand?
A.
Displacement on demand could be definitely coming into Australia
in the near future in one of our engines - we are thinking of this
very hard already and this could happen, I would say, within the
next three years.
Q.
Would you have a five-speed auto in the next generation car?
A.
I would definitely say that we would have a five-speed automatic
transmission - exactly when is a little bit uncertain but we will
definitely have a five-speed.
Q.
And diesel, VZ or VE?
A.
We would need more help from perhaps the government to make diesel
more attractive, like they do in Europe, with policy, the taxation
structure and the fuel rebate relative to petrol.
Q.
Have you seen any movements on this behind the scenes?
A.
We have had some first discussions on this, but we have not really
pushed on this yet as we are unsure if diesel would be a strategy
needed in Australia. But the more I think about it, we think about
it, the more I see what is going on here. I think it will be a very
important thing. And because our imports all already have diesel
versions, our Achilles' heel is our locally-built product.
Q.
Would you have to do some consumer hand holding to re-educate them?
A.
We did the same in Germany. Germans wouldn't touch diesels. It was
a French kind of vehicle with a diesel engine. And Italians had
diesel. But Germans wouldn't touch it. Today 45 or 50 percent of
all sales are diesel.
Diesel doesn't smell anymore, diesel
is in the same panel at the gas station. There was a lot of promotion
about diesel, and how good it is, from the oil companies, so there
is some marketing needed in Australia. Then of course you have to
get people driving it because diesel drives like a passenger car
today; it doesn't have the black smoke etc.
Q.
And what about high performance diesel? Like a HSV diesel.
A.
Could be done. Not a problem. Brabus is the high performance guy
in Germany for Opel and we could have high performance diesels.
Q.
Are you thinking of rolling the diesel out first with the Cross
8/all-wheel drive range before you go into Sedans and traditional
passenger cars with it?
A.
Yes, it would definitely be in the commercial side first. I think
that would be our strategy. We could go out to farmers and mining
businesses and all - that's most probably how we would start. But
if we started on a diesel it would be on a very high sophistication,
because we cannot fool anybody. It has to be right form the first
place.
CROSS HEAD On petrol-electric hybrid technology and fuel
cell vehicles for Australia
Q.
Rick Wagoner unveiled the alternative fuels strategy for General
Motors at Detroit. What implications does that have for Holden and
what will we see in terms of alternative fuels in your range?
A.
We are pretty much doing what the Europeans are doing. They are
basing most of their business on internal combustion engines. They
have a great strategy going now which is diesel. In Europe about
45 percent of all the cars being sold at the moment are diesel -
45 percent. They are very clean engines, they have no nitrous oxide,
they have no hydrocarbons; they have a little bit of carbon monoxide.
The particulates are handled with direct injection and the rest
is now caught in traps.
So if we would have to build a bridge
it would most probably be a diesel engine. I believe there could
be a diesel market and then we would go directly to fuels cells.
The only difference most probably - and we want to talk about this
when we talk about our innovation centre very soon in the first
quarter - we would go with fuel cells, but with a different kind
of technology behind it - which would be Australian.
Q.
What do you mean by that? Do you mean Australian-designed and built
drivelines for the fuel-cell drive lines or do you mean controlling
electronics?
A.
It's capacitors. Everybody today uses batteries to get the discharge
you need on acceleration when the fuel cell doesn't deliver enough
power. And what we are thinking at this time is that we combine
the fuel cell with the capacitor, which we did with eCommodore and
this technology is an Australian invention. They are fairly advanced
in it, its charge and discharge is its strength. So you don't need
batteries, which means you can take a lot of weight out and get
the power when you need it, and store it when you don't need it.
That is where we think our kind of vehicle will be; fuel cell technology
with capacitors.
Q.
Is the capacitor working in conjunction with the CSIRO?
A.
Yes. We are on one program and ultimately the fuel cell we do together.
They are still working on high-performance acid batteries, and we
are working on capacitors. And then after two or three years we
might merge and go with the best.
Q.
Which you think will be capacitors?
A.
Capacitors - very clear otherwise we would not do it.
Q.
How readily will fleets accept fuel cell?
A.
I have no idea. The thing is everybody had every argument when the
steam engine was started and they could not see the combustion making
way. Daimler and Benz had this thing going up and down and everyone
said: "Nonsense! The steam engine is the thing for the future,"
because there was a need for petrol and refineries and how can it
work?
Then it happened. The combustion engine
is the major powerhouse of the car today. Now, we are in the next
revolutionary stage where the combustion engine will be ultimately
replaced by the fuel cell. It has to be because fuel is finite,
this is a globe which has finite elements, so you can calculate
how long petrol will last. You have hydrogen you can generate from
water, the globe has plenty of water around to do this and there
is no reason why the oil companies should not change their structure
ultimately from gasoline into hydrogen. It is the same thing like
the move from steam to gasoline.
Let me now go out 20 or 30 years; I
still believe nuclear energy has to come back on this planet for
the long-term. There is no reason why, long-term, nuclear energy
can't be handled in the same way as we do with petrol today. So
that's my vision. And I am pretty sure we will see some major announcements
in America along these lines, with oil companies and fuel cells
and hydrogen and hydrogen stations and things like that.
Q.
Do you think that using the transformer-based technologies for extracting
the hydrogen from petrol is a positive intermediate step in fuel
cell technology, or is it better just to leapfrog straight to pure
hydrogen from fuel cells?
A.
We would like to leapfrog. And we have to start this discussions
in Australia with the oil companies on board. Hydrogenation is very
costly - it can be done but it is very costly. There is no reason
why all the refineries should be written off. These refineries have
been working and when you look to the profits of the oil companies
they are not small. So there is no reason to not use some of the
money like Holden is doing and start to invest in future technology
and to generate hydrogen instead of taking raw oil or crude oil
and making it into gasoline and diesel and all of that stuff. There
is a mind block, a road block, at the moment that has to be knocked
off.
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